Research analyst Tom Wolf has made a bold claim on the ongoing tallying of the presidential results by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission in what is now a neck-to-neck contest between Azimio La Umoja's presidential candidate Raila Odinga and Kenya Kwanza's William Ruto. Either candidate will be required to meet the 50 plus one threshold as stipulated by the constitution for the IEBC to declare the winner or else a run-off could be on the offing should the mark not be met.
Political expert Tom Wolf had predicted a run-off in an interview with NTV while the voting process was still in progress, but now, according to the same media outlet, Tom Wolf has declared there won't be a run-off. According to Tom Wolf, even if the combined sum of Wajackoyah and Mwaure increases significantly, it won't rise much above 1%.
TIFA research Analyst, Mr. Tom Wolf today explained why some Presidential aspirants and Governors got more votes that the Members of County County Assemblies and Senators. While speaking of NTV Kenya today, Tom Wolf said that their last opinion poll before August 9th revealed that the Presidential seat or race was the most preferred one.
Researcher Tom Wolf now says that Deputy President William Ruto now has an upper hand over ODM leader Raila Odinga regarding the undecided vote. The undecided vote could end up deciding who between the two takes over the presidency from Uhuru Kenyatta, thanks to the small margin between them according to recent opinion polls and surveys.
Political analysts are discussing the likelihood of a runoff between Raila Odinga (Azimio) and William Ruto of UDA, the two top presidential candidates, as the race for the presidency nears its conclusion To win the presidency in the first round, a candidate must receive 50 percent plus one vote of the total votes cast.
The race to State House has continued to become tight as William Ruto and Raila Odinga go head to head with a very small margin separating the two frontrunners to the August polls. With counting and tallying of votes already entering the homestretch, a number of aspirants have already known their fate with some already being announced as winners.
Tifa's political analyst, Tom Wolf, has endorsed Hon. Raila Amollo Odinga's decision to withdraw from the Azimio Presidential Debate, revealing that there will be no major political repercussions, as voters have already made up their minds. Tom Wolf responded to a question posed by Sam Gituku on Citizen TV: "Well, based on your research, history, and experience, what influence do debates have on legitimate candidates after the Azimio presidential candidate withdrew?"
Tom Wolfe believes that until a replacement for President Uhuru Kenyatta is finally identified, Kenyans may wind up voting for him three times. In the polls, ODM leader Raila Odinga is now leading William Ruto by a little margin. This, according to Wolfe, is indication that there might be a spill and that the nation might go back to the polls after the game on August 9.
Kenyans might end up voting thrice for President before President Uhuru Kenyatta's successor is ultimately found, researcher Tom Wolf has said. This comes at a time when opinion polls are placing ODM leader Raila Odinga on top of the pack, thinly ahead of Deputy President William Ruto.
Kenyans could end up voting for President Uhuru Kenyatta three times before a successor to him is finally found, according to researcher Tom Wolfe. This comes as ODM leader Raila Odinga comes first in the polls, just ahead of William Ruto. Wolfe describes this as evidence that there could be a spill that could result in the country returning to the vote after kickoff on 9 August.
According to Tom Wolfe, Kenyans may wind up voting for President Uhuru Kenyatta three times before a replacement is picked. Raila Odinga, the leader of the ODM, is polling barely ahead of William Ruto. Wolfe saw this as evidence of a spillover, with the country voting again after the 9 August deadline.
ODM leader Raila Odinga, according to researcher Tom Wolf, currently trails William Ruto when it comes to change voting. Due to the narrow margin separating the two candidates in recent opinion polls, a tie vote could eventually decide who succeeds Uhuru Kenyatta as president. In Wolf's opinion, Ruto has a more substantial chance of winning the election because he is now perceived as the opposition leader.
Researcher Tom Wolf said Kenyans could end up voting three times for the presidency before a successor to President Uhuru Kenyatta is finally found. It comes at a time when opinion polls put ODM leader Raila Odinga ahead, slightly ahead of Deputy President William Ruto. Wolf calls this proof that there could be an outflow, which could see the country go to the polls again after the August 9 election.
A researcher by the name of Tom Wolf said that Kenyans could have to vote for president three times before President Uhuru Kenyatta's successor is finally chosen. It comes at a time when public opinion polls place Raila Odinga, the leader of the ODM, in the lead, slightly ahead of William Ruto, the deputy president.
According to a new poll, there would be no runoff if elections were held today with the projected two million undecided voters abstaining. Raila Odinga, the leader of the Azimio la Umoja coalition party, would win the first round of voting if only 8% of registered but undecided voters did not cast their ballots, according to a survey issued on August 3, 2022, by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA).
Umoja Azimio Raila Odinga leads Deputy President William Ruto in yesterday's opinion polls. The recent Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) poll indicated that Raila has 46% of the respondents' support while Ruto has 44%. With nine days left, Raila leads by 2% of the 22.1 million registered voters.
Tom Wolf, a political analyst for Tifa, has finally endorsed Hon. Raila Amollo Odinga's decision to skip the scheduled presidential debate, saying that there won't be any significant political repercussions because the electorate has already made up its mind. Tom Wolf responded to a query from Sam Gituku while speaking on Citizen TV.
The August General Elections are right around the corner with the various Presidential candidates doing their best to ensure that they are voted in by the electorate in the next few days. Picture courtesy. Former PM Raila Odinga and DP William Ruto. The various Presidential Aspirants are doing their last minute campaigns as they come to an end on the 6th of August 2022 ahead of the August 9th polls.
Raila Odinga, who is running for president for the fifth time, has demonstrated numerous signs of success. Numerous studies on the nation's politics and state have demonstrated this.The former prime minister's research has shown encouraging results, which indicate that it could give Odinga's presidential campaign a major boost in August.
With just 6 days remaining to the August 9 general election, a new survey by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) has found that Azimio Presidential candidate Raila Odinga is the most preferred presidential candidate in Nairobi County leading with 52 per cent, followed with his main competitor Deputy President William Ruto who has 34 per cent.