Santos and Independiente take on each other in a big Brazil vs Argentina clash in the last 16 round of Copa Sudamericana.
Santos will try and secure a decent advantage in the first leg of this last 16 round tie against Independiente as they tend to offer much worse displays on the road.
The home court advantage plays a massive factor for the team led by Fernando Diniz this season.
Santos are thus on a fabulous run of eight wins and two draws in the last ten home fixtures across competitions. They have conceded only two goals in the process.
The story is completely different when they have to play away from Estadio Urbano Caldeira, though.
Santos lost seven, drew one, and lost one of the last nine outings on the road (the lone win came in Copa do Brasil against lower division Cianorte).
After all, the back-to-back away losses to The Strongest and Barcelona in the last two rounds of their Copa Libertadores group stage campaign have eliminated the team from the elite continental competition.
Besides the home court advantage, the regular match fitness should be another significant edge for Santos here.
Independiente have not played a competitive game since June 1st when they got eliminated by Colon in the semifinal of the Argentinean Copa de la Liga Profesional (0-2 on aggregate).
Independiente have generally played defensive-minded football throughout the entire domestic campaign, conceding just 10 goals in 13 matches.
Santos failed to find the back of the net in two legs of the Copa Libertadores R16 tie against Independiente three years ago. Looking at Independiente’s defensive minded style at the start of this year, as well as Santos’ strong defensive form in their own backyard, we fancy the Under 2.5 goals FT as the best betting option for this game.
As for the outcome, we believe Santos should have what it takes to just edge it on Thursday evening. The 1-0 correct score bet looks as a decent option at the attractive 6.50 odds.
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