Paul Otuoma came in second place in the 2017 Busia gubernatorial elections, losing by less than 10,000 votes to incumbent governor Sospeter Ojaamong. After leaving ODM due to major rigging of the nomination process, Otuoma ran as an independent candidate.
Five years later, the former Funyula legislator has rejoined ODM and is widely seen as the favourite to succeed Ojaamong.However, according to a survey released by TIFA Research on Thursday, 10 March, if elections are held today, Otuoma would come a distant third behind Florence Mutua and Sakwa Bunyasi.In the poll, 31% of residents would vote Mutua, 19% Bunyasi while only 17% would cast their ballot in favour of Otuoma. Other contenders like Lucas Meso and Moses Mulomi, the current Deputy Governor, would receive 3 and 2 per cent of votes cast.The voting patterns of Busia, which comprises seven sub-counties, are heavily influenced by party affiliation and tribe. Teso North and South voted overwhelmingly for Governor Ojaamong, who ran on an ODM ticket in the last election.
There are jitters amongst ODM supporters affiliated with Otuoma, who allege that some party mandarins are hellbent on giving Madam Florence Mutua the coveted ODM ticket for the gubernatorial race.
Aside from the Iteso and Luhya, the County is home to a sizable population of Luos, Kikuyus, and Somalis, who provide the crucial swing vote.
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