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Who will win the August presidential race? Opinion

Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga and Deputy President William Ruto are the main horses in the presidential race. Ruto and Raila had layed strategies that will increase their chances of clinching the top seat. Ruto will not find it easy to win against Raila Odinga who is vying for the 5th and the last time.

Ruto has good support base in Mt Kenya region where he is likely to get over 60 per cent of votes with Raila Odinga likely to get over 30 per cent of votes. In Riftvalley, Ruto will definitely beat Raila Odinga in the six Kalenjine counties with other counties remaining for grabs. Raila will use Nyanza region votes to compensate the Kalenjines votes that Ruto will get in the Riftvalley. Raila again will use Ukambani votes to compensate the difference between them in Mt Kenya region. At this stage their number of votes will be close to equal.

In Western Kenya, Raila Odinga is likely to beat William Ruto even if Mudavadi and Wetangula are supporting the latter as Bungoma and Vihiga counties will be for grabs with Kakamega and Busia counties still remaining Azimio zones. At that stage Raila Odinga will be ahead of Ruto with close to a million votes. Let's assume that North Eastern votes will be swing votes even though the area kingpin Okur Yatani is already in Azimio.

Ruto has made several inroads into the coastal region but still he can't manage to beat Odinga in the region and Odinga will increase the gap between them using the coastal votes. Raila will continue to beat William Ruto in Nairobi county and that will be the end of Ruto's hope in the 2022 general election.Drop your opinion on the comments section and don't forget to like and follow for more information.

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Kalenjines Mt Kenya Raila Odinga Ukambani William Ruto


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