The Migori gubernatorial race has attracted a number of bigwigs. Okoth Obado will be heading home acfter serving his last term as governor.He however will be looking for a strong candidate who he can back to succed him. During his time at the helm, Obado was largely seen as a Ruto man and probably why he had a lot of tribulations.
There are two frontrunners for the race currently. That is Dalmas Otieno against senator Ochillo Ayacko. Despite Ochillo looking like the only horse, Dalmas is likely to surprise many.
Dalmas has already indicated that he will be running under Jubilee which is still in Azimio. Winning with a non ODM party is very difficult in Nyanza but Migori is usually a different county. Below are some reasons why Dalmas might win despite vying on a Jubilee ticket.
1.Migori is a cosmopolitan county
The county has luos, kurias, kisii's, luhya's and even somali's who carry out their businesses there. These people can act as the determining factor and they might vote for the Jubilee candidate at the expense of ODM candidate.
The Kurians have always felt shortchanged during elections and they might decide to vote in Dalmas Otieno with Jubilee to punish the Luos.
3.Influence of UDA in Kuria
William Ruto has made in roads in Kuria and has some numbers there. The UDA supporters might decide to back Dalmas.
4.Funding from Obado
Governor Obado is viewed as likely to fund Dalmas' campaigns as he has bad relationship with ODM. He has the financial might as compared to Ochillo who has lost two past elections and will be looking at recovering his money. If Dalmas also gets funding from the Jubilee party then its game over for Ochillo.
Obado won with PDP in 2013 and that means another party different from ODM can still win. What are your thoughts
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