By opting not to defend his seat, Kisauni MP Ali Mbogo has made a big political gamble that could end up haunting him for very many years to come.
After serving for just one term in Parliament, Mbogo has now set his eyes on the Mombasa Deputy Governor position, where he set to deputise the Wiper candidate, Mike Sonko.
Considering the uncertainty surrounding the candidature of Sonko for the Mombasa Governor seat, Mbogo could have miscalculated his political game plan.
Suppose the former Nairobi Governor is barred from contesting amid integrity questions raised against him, what becomes of the Kisauni MP? Most likely, he will have to drop out of the race as well.
Even if Sonko was to be cleared by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission, what are the chances of him and Mbogo trouncing the ODM candidate, Abdulswamad Shariff Nassir?
With Mombasa political bigwigs ganging up against Sonko, Mbogo's decision not to defend his MP seat could turn out to be the biggest political mistake he has ever made.
Had he opted to defend his Kisauni MP seat, chances are that he would easily earn a second term in office.
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