ODM leader Raila Odinga cannot win on Tuesday, as he cannot achieve the tough goal he will have to realize for him to win, economist David Ndii says.
Ndii is among former allies of Raila who have abandoned him to join Deputy President William Ruto, Raila's main opponent in the presidential race.
He says that Raila can only win if he can rally his traditional bases behind him, which he notes is impossible, judging by the current situation.
For him, this cannot be done, as Raila has lost significant support in these areas, and not even 30 percent of the Mt Kenya vote can help him.
Ndii, now Ruto's UDA economic advisor, argues that Raila will need to retain the entire Ukambani, Coast and Western Kenya votes, and add this to the Mt Kenya vote if he is to win.
His observation has been echoed by UDA Secretary General Veronica Maina, who is of the opinion that Ruto has eaten into the mentioned Raila zones.
“We are actually having a better manifesto; our manifesto is focused on providing solutions to the issues affecting the common mwananchi. We also have a candidate who is believable and credible," she told the Sunday Nation.
She says that Raila should forget about regions like Western Kenya, thanks to the fact that ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi and Moses Wetangula (Ford Kenya) are Ruto's partners in Kenya Kwanza.
“We have made significant inroads in Western. The key leaders from the region are partners in Kenya Kwanza," she is further quoted.
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