Currently in unstoppable form on the domestic scene, La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in 13 UEFA Champions League (UCL) home games (W9, D4). The hosts are obvious favourites to win this leg, and any winning goal might come late
Six of those nine wins in Atletico's current unbeaten UCL run at the Wanda Metropolitano have come against opposition from a top-five European domestic league
Chelsea remain unbeaten under the management of Thomas Tuchel, but trailed at HT for the first time under his fledgling regime at the weekend, recovering to snatch a draw via Mason Mount's second-half penalty.
The visitors' good recent form provokes hopes of a surprise win here, and the 'over 2.5' goals characteristic applies to each of the Blues' four preceding UCL wins.
In addition to averaging 1.0 penalty goal per UCL match since matchday two, Chelsea have also beaten the -2 handicap in three UCL victories, while winning both halves and winning one half by a precise 1-0 scoreline.
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