CASTERAS V BRAGE
Västerås SK's latest fixture against Trelleborg ended in an away 1-0 win. Västerås SK was very effective while counter-attacking. In the end, it was enough to make the difference between the two teams. Västerås SK was more dominant in the second half and scored in the 65 minute.
Brage's previous game in the competition versus Öster ended in an away 2-1 win. Although Brage countered for most of the game, it was more than enough to win. Brage was much better in the second half and scored in the 16th and 49th minute.
Since the start of the season, Västerås SK is more dominant at home. They have two wins out of 4 games on home soil. Västerås SK's good defensive display is key to their success. They didn't concede in 50% of home games.
Brage has picked up 4 points from the previous six league games. It is quite intriguing that they prefer playing on the road. Brage has collected 1.00 points on average per away game, compared to 0.33 at home. To improve results, they have to be more compact in defence. Brage kept a clean sheet in just 0% of their visits.
It is hard to choose a favourite in this one. Both teams look evenly-matched and have their strengths. I am not willing to take a risk and prefer a double chance bet. My prediction is more than two goals and home win.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
MORECAMBE V NEWPORT
Morecambe's last game in the England EFL League Two against Tranmere Rovers at home ended in a 1-1 draw. They counterattacked for most of the game and were more dangerous. Morecambe scored before halftime in the 9th minute.
Newport County's previous game in the competition versus Forest Green Rovers ended in an away 4-3 loss. Ironsides didn't turn up and failed to create clear cut chances for most of the game. Newport County was pretty good in both halves and scored in the 70th, 76th and 119th minute.
Since the start of the season, Seasiders is more dominant at home. They have thirteen wins out of 24 games on home soil. Although Morecambe is among the most solid home teams in the league, they are far from perfect. Their defence is not as good as expected with just 25% home clean sheets.
Newport County has picked up 11 points from the previous six league games. They still have a lot to prove when playing away from home. Newport County wins 1.21 points per away game, a bit less than their home record shows. To improve results, they have to be more compact in defence. Newport County kept a clean sheet in just 29% of their visits.
It is hard to choose a favourite in this one. Both teams look evenly-matched and have their strengths. I am not willing to take a risk and prefer a double chance bet. My prediction is Draw or Newport County.
Still, I expect a close game and don't think that we will see a lot of goals. Both sides score and concede on average 2.5 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals were scored in an average of 47% of Morecambe's home and Newport County's away games. My prediction is under 2.5 Goals.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
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